Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 375.064590 426.699971 484.424376 554.028470 636.063245 730.138530 846.851501
2025-08-10 292.361689 357.550094 437.157417 542.640231 680.411093 856.589224 1102.767206
2025-08-17 258.324550 331.305705 425.834745 559.446598 747.056798 1006.733095 1403.579479
2025-08-24 228.027880 303.329064 405.422328 557.293595 783.389690 1117.517779 1668.571545
2025-08-31 202.872971 278.025936 383.817202 548.053064 805.018000 1206.941420 1916.194757
2025-09-07 185.973546 261.793732 372.220869 550.515715 842.728105 1325.109708 2234.168397
2025-09-14 168.557391 242.621194 353.603557 538.843796 854.764949 1401.382051 2493.520661
2025-09-21 156.133893 229.513983 342.482096 537.140866 882.214038 1507.597076 2832.773882
2025-09-28 141.015175 210.733456 320.371529 514.138950 868.477636 1535.366596 3019.098105
2025-10-05 136.357604 207.986503 323.659658 534.724304 936.290767 1729.849885 3612.405992
2025-10-12 132.851147 206.687977 329.044108 559.415692 1015.331900 1961.812566 4360.879754
2025-10-19 126.173067 199.482007 323.551995 563.271808 1053.544281 2114.699843 4962.747972
2025-10-26 116.928181 187.379329 308.750683 548.467121 1052.755151 2184.506149 5379.502821
2025-11-02 109.153206 177.251280 296.638565 537.629210 1059.098425 2273.083088 5883.117171
2025-11-09 105.930908 174.830898 298.250137 554.199322 1127.943969 2527.176879 6977.507902
2025-11-16 100.548797 168.099359 291.194847 552.076137 1153.890771 2678.812152 7810.634009
2025-11-23 94.795345 160.263036 281.359409 542.939087 1161.870411 2784.773471 8534.473936
2025-11-30 90.886075 155.548425 277.136715 545.374098 1198.286827 2977.738163 9665.773811
2025-12-07 85.750377 148.176372 267.087202 533.833272 1197.957686 3065.290852 10432.507030
2025-12-14 82.062223 143.314603 261.670768 532.149423 1222.846721 3234.711392 11628.358020
2025-12-21 76.525492 134.552363 247.706702 509.403987 1188.725251 3213.628291 11980.539447
2025-12-28 75.570862 134.652068 251.959161 529.759914 1274.897313 3601.908285 14474.527508
2026-01-04 74.974044 135.405059 257.620025 554.173717 1377.148031 4076.654635 17773.368129